Early Voting Results 2012 Show Obama Leading for Party Affiliations
If party affiliations were being considered, incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama is the winning 2012 Presidential candidate in the early voting results. That is because some states have already revealed the party affiliations of those who voted early, and majority are Democrats.
30 million people from 34 states and the District of Columbia have made their early voting either by mail or in person for the next President of the United States. Six key states have revealed the party affiliations of the voters. The numbers are saying that the voters are mostly Democrats.
In Nevada, among the 702,000 registered voters who opted for early voting, Democrats have completed 43.9 percent of the ballots, Republicans made up 37 percent while independents at 19.1 percent, state data show.
In Iowa, 614,000 people had cast their ballots already through November 2, according to the secretary of state’s office. Registered Democrats have cast 42.6 percent of the ballots as against the 32.3 percent by Republicans and 25 percent by independents.
In Florida, more than 4.4 million people cast their votes through early voting as of November 3, according to Florida State Department. Again, Democratic voters cast 43 percent, while Republicans cast 39 percent.
In North Carolina, Democrats dominated early voting with 48 percent against the Republican‘s 32 percent. Early voters in North Carolina had reached 2.5 million.
Swing state Ohio had over 1.6 million early voters with 29 percent were Democrats, 23 percent were Republicans and 47 percent were independent.
Out of the six key states who revealed their early voting results through party affiliations, Colorado was the only one leaning towards Romney. About 1.6 million have already voted in Colorado through November 3, where Republicans reportedly outnumbered Democrats 36.9 percent to 34.6 percent. Independents made up the remaining 27.4 percent.
The nine swing-states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin which are considered the most competitive states among the candidates in the election.
“The data are confirming what we are seeing in the polling, which is that these state races are going to be narrower than in 2008,” said professor Michael McDonald of George Mason University who studies early voting.
Still, without a clear portrait of the independent vote, there’s no way to tell what surprises are in store on the election day itself on November 6, 2012.
In addition, the party affiliations of the voters is not a clear indication of who they voted for. Just because a person is a registered Democrat or Republican does not mean that is how they will vote.